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Saturday, November 24, 2007

Benchmark Currency Rates


USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD HKD
HKD 7.7766 11.5385 0.0718 16.0416 7.0558 7.8695 6.8263
AUD 1.1392 1.6903 0.0105 2.35 1.0336 1.1528 0.1465
CAD 0.9882 1.4662 0.0091 2.0385 0.8966 0.8674 0.1271
CHF 1.1022 1.6353 0.0102 2.2735 1.1153 0.9675 0.1417
GBP 0.4848 0.7193 0.0045 0.4398 0.4906 0.4255 0.0623
JPY 108.3 160.6901 223.4012 98.2625 109.5932 95.0657 13.9264
EUR 0.674 0.0062 1.3903 0.6115 0.682 0.5916 0.0867
USD 1.4838 0.0092 2.0628 0.9073 1.0119 0.8778 0.1286
Above is a chart designed to display the cross rates of eight major world currencies. Scan across the chart to find the rate of exchange between any two of these currencies.


Currency key
USD: U.S. Dollar CAD: Canadian Dollar
GBP: British Pound EUR: Euro
CHF: Swiss Franc AUD: Australian Dollar
HKD: Hong Kong Dollar JPY: Japanese Yen

Foreign exchange market

he foreign exchange (currency or forex or FX) market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. It is by far the largest financial market in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. The average daily trade in the global forex and related markets currently is over US$ 3 trillion.[1] Retail traders (individuals) are a small fraction of this market and may only participate indirectly through brokers or banks, and are subject to forex scams[2] [3].


Contents
[hide]

* 1 Market size and liquidity
* 2 Market participants
o 2.1 Banks
o 2.2 Commercial companies
o 2.3 Central banks
o 2.4 Investment management firms
o 2.5 Hedge funds
o 2.6 Retail forex brokers
* 3 Trading characteristics
* 4 Factors affecting currency trading
o 4.1 Economic factors
o 4.2 Political conditions
o 4.3 Market psychology
* 5 Algorithmic trading in forex
* 6 Financial instruments
o 6.1 Spot
o 6.2 Forward
o 6.3 Future
o 6.4 Swap
o 6.5 Option
o 6.6 Exchange Traded Fund
* 7 Speculation
* 8 References
* 9 See also
* 10 External links

[edit] Market size and liquidity

The foreign exchange market is unique because of

* its trading volumes,
* the extreme liquidity of the market,
* the large number of, and variety of, traders in the market,
* its geographical dispersion,
* its long trading hours: 24 hours a day (except on weekends),
* the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
* the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be high due to very large trading volumes)

According to the BIS,[1] average daily turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3,210 billion. Daily averages in April for different years, in billions of US dollars, are presented on the chart below:

This $3.21 trillion in global foreign exchange market "traditional" turnover was broken down as follows:

* $1,005 billion in spot transactions
* $362 billion in outright forwards
* $1,714 billion in forex swaps
* $129 billion estimated gaps in reporting

In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was traded in derivatives.

Exchange-traded forex futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years, and accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20).

Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange market transactions totaled $2.7 trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London, New York, Tokyo and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover, including non-traditional foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges, averaged around $2.9 trillion a day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market. [4]

Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. RPP

The ten most active traders account for almost 73% of trading volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe, (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies, usually 0–3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually $100,000.

These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide (i.e. 0.0003). Competition has greatly increased with pip spreads shrinking on the major pairs to as little as 1 to 2 pips.

[edit] Market participants
Financial markets

Bond market
Fixed income
Corporate bond
Government bond
Municipal bond
Bond valuation
High-yield debt

Stock market
Stock
Preferred stock
Common stock
Stock exchange

Foreign exchange market
Retail forex

Derivative market
Credit derivative
Hybrid security
Options
Futures
Forwards
Swaps

Other Markets
Commodity market
OTC market
Real estate market
Spot market

Finance series
Financial market
Financial market participants
Corporate finance
Personal finance
Public finance
Banks and Banking
Financial regulation
v • d • e
Top 10 Currency Traders % of overall volume, May 2007 Source: Euromoney FX survey[5] Rank Name % of volume
1 Deutsche Bank 19.30
2 UBS AG 14.85
3 Citi 9.00
4 Royal Bank of Scotland 8.90
5 Barclays Capital 8.80
6 Bank of America 5.29
7 HSBC 4.36
8 Goldman Sachs 4.14
9 JPMorgan 3.33
10 Morgan Stanley 2.86


Unlike a stock market, where all participants have access to the same prices, the forex market is divided into levels of access. At the top is the inter-bank market, which is made up of the largest investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank market, spreads, which are the difference between the bid and ask prices, are razor sharp and usually unavailable, and not known to players outside the inner circle. As you descend the levels of access, the difference between the bid and ask prices widens (from 0-1 pip to 1-2 pips only for major currencies like the Euro). This is due to volume. If a trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts, they can demand a smaller difference between the bid and ask price, which is referred to as a better spread. The levels of access that make up the forex market are determined by the size of the “line” (the amount of money with which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After that there are usually smaller investment banks, followed by large multi-national corporations (which need to hedge risk and pay employees in different countries), large hedge funds, and even some of the retail forex market makers. According to Galati and Melvin, “Pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since the early 2000s.” (2004) In addition, he notes, “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001–2004 period in terms of both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the forex market to align currencies to their economic needs.

[edit] Banks

The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the bank's own account.

Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business, facilitating interbank trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today, however, much of this business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems, such as EBS (now owned by ICAP), Reuters Dealing 3000 Matching (D2), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, FXMarketSpace, Bloomberg, and TradeBook(R). The broker squawk box lets traders listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms, but turnover is noticeably smaller than just a few years ago.

[edit] Commercial companies

An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term impact on market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a currency's exchange rate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other market participants.

[edit] Central banks

National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high — that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading.

The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank. Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992–93 ERM collapse, and in more recent times in Southeast Asia.

[edit] Investment management firms

Investment management firms (who typically manage large accounts on behalf of customers such as pension funds and endowments) use the foreign exchange market to facilitate transactions in foreign securities. For example, an investment manager with an international equity portfolio will need to buy and sell foreign currencies in the spot market in order to pay for purchases of foreign equities. Since the forex transactions are secondary to the actual investment decision, they are not seen as speculative or aimed at profit-maximization.

Some investment management firms also have more speculative specialist currency overlay operations, which manage clients' currency exposures with the aim of generating profits as well as limiting risk. Whilst the number of this type of specialist firms is quite small, many have a large value of assets under management (AUM), and hence can generate large trades.

[edit] Hedge funds

Hedge funds, such as George Soros's Quantum fund have gained a reputation for aggressive currency speculation since 1990. They control billions of dollars of equity and may borrow billions more, and thus may overwhelm intervention by central banks to support almost any currency, if the economic fundamentals are in the hedge funds' favor.

[edit] Retail forex brokers

Retail forex brokers or market makers handle a minute fraction of the total volume of the foreign exchange market. According to CNN, one retail broker estimates retail volume at $25–50 billion daily, which is about 2% of the whole market and it has been reported by the CFTC website that unexperienced investors may become targets of forex scams.

[edit] Trading characteristics
Most traded currencies[1]
Currency distribution of reported FX market turnover Rank Currency ISO 4217
code Symbol % daily share
(April 2004)
1 United States dollar USD $ 88.7%
2 Eurozone euro EUR € 37.2%
3 Japanese yen JPY ¥ 20.3%
4 British pound sterling GBP £ 16.9%
5 Swiss franc CHF Fr 6.1%
6 Australian dollar AUD $ 5.5%
7 Canadian dollar CAD $ 4.2%
8 Swedish krona SEK kr 2.3%
9 Hong Kong dollar HKD $ 1.9%
10 Norwegian krone NOK kr 1.4%
Other 15.5%
Total 200%

There is no unified or centrally cleared market for the majority of FX trades, and there is very little cross-border regulation. Due to the over-the-counter (OTC) nature of currency markets, there are rather a number of interconnected marketplaces, where different currency instruments are traded. This implies that there is not a single dollar rate but rather a number of different rates (prices), depending on what bank or market maker is trading. In practice the rates are often very close, otherwise they could be exploited by arbitrageurs instantaneously. A joint venture of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Reuters, called FXMarketSpace opened in 2007 and aspires to the role of a central market clearing mechanism.

The main trading centers are in London, New York, Tokyo, and Singapore, but banks throughout the world participate. Currency trading happens continuously throughout the day; as the Asian trading session ends, the European session begins, followed by the North American session and then back to the Asian session, excluding weekends.

There is little or no 'inside information' in the foreign exchange markets. Exchange rate fluctuations are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as by expectations of changes in monetary flows caused by changes in GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, budget and trade deficits or surpluses, large cross-border M&A deals and other macroeconomic conditions. Major news is released publicly, often on scheduled dates, so many people have access to the same news at the same time. However, the large banks have an important advantage; they can see their customers' order flow.

Currencies are traded against one another. Each pair of currencies thus constitutes an individual product and is traditionally noted XXX/YYY, where YYY is the ISO 4217 international three-letter code of the currency into which the price of one unit of XXX is expressed. For instance, EUR/USD is the price of the euro expressed in US dollars, as in 1 euro = 1.3045 dollar. Out of convention, the first currency in the pair, the base currency, was the stronger currency at the creation of the pair. The second currency, counter currency, was the weaker currency at the creation of the pair.

The factors affecting XXX will affect both XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ. This causes positive currency correlation between XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ.

On the spot market, according to the BIS study, the most heavily traded products were:

* EUR/USD: 28 %
* USD/JPY: 18 %
* GBP/USD (also called sterling or cable): 14 %

and the US currency was involved in 88.7% of transactions, followed by the euro (37.2%), the yen (20.3%), and the sterling (16.9%) (see table). Note that volume percentages should add up to 200%: 100% for all the sellers and 100% for all the buyers.

Although trading in the euro has grown considerably since the currency's creation in January 1999, the foreign exchange market is thus far still largely dollar-centered. For instance, trading the euro versus a non-European currency ZZZ will usually involve two trades: EUR/USD and USD/ZZZ. The exception to this is EUR/JPY, which is an established traded currency pair in the interbank spot market.

[edit] Factors affecting currency trading

See also: Exchange rates

Although exchange rates are affected by many factors, in the end, currency prices are a result of supply and demand forces. The world's currency markets can be viewed as a huge melting pot: in a large and ever-changing mix of current events, supply and demand factors are constantly shifting, and the price of one currency in relation to another shifts accordingly. No other market encompasses (and distills) as much of what is going on in the world at any given time as foreign exchange.

Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions and market psychology.

[edit] Economic factors

These include economic policy, disseminated by government agencies and central banks, economic conditions, generally revealed through economic reports, and other economic indicators.

Economic policy comprises government fiscal policy (budget/spending practices) and monetary policy (the means by which a government's central bank influences the supply and "cost" of money, which is reflected by the level of interest rates).

Economic conditions include:

Government budget deficits or surpluses: The market usually reacts negatively to widening government budget deficits, and positively to narrowing budget deficits. The impact is reflected in the value of a country's currency.

Balance of trade levels and trends: The trade flow between countries illustrates the demand for goods and services, which in turn indicates demand for a country's currency to conduct trade. Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflect the competitiveness of a nation's economy. For example, trade deficits may have a negative impact on a nation's currency.

Inflation levels and trends: Typically, a currency will lose value if there is a high level of inflation in the country or if inflation levels are perceived to be rising. This is because inflation erodes purchasing power, thus demand, for that particular currency.

Economic growth and health: Reports such as gross domestic product (GDP), employment levels, retail sales, capacity utilization and others, detail the levels of a country's economic growth and health. Generally, the more healthy and robust a country's economy, the better its currency will perform, and the more demand for it there will be.

[edit] Political conditions

Internal, regional, and international political conditions and events can have a profound effect on currency markets.

For instance, political upheaval and instability can have a negative impact on a nation's economy. The rise of a political faction that is perceived to be fiscally responsible can have the opposite effect. Also, events in one country in a region may spur positive or negative interest in a neighboring country and, in the process, affect its currency.

[edit] Market psychology

Market psychology and trader perceptions influence the foreign exchange market in a variety of ways:

Flights to quality: Unsettling international events can lead to a "flight to quality," with investors seeking a "safe haven". There will be a greater demand, thus a higher price, for currencies perceived as stronger over their relatively weaker counterparts.

Long-term trends: Currency markets often move in visible long-term trends. Although currencies do not have an annual growing season like physical commodities, business cycles do make themselves felt. Cycle analysis looks at longer-term price trends that may rise from economic or political trends. [6]

"Buy the rumor, sell the fact:" This market truism can apply to many currency situations. It is the tendency for the price of a currency to reflect the impact of a particular action before it occurs and, when the anticipated event comes to pass, react in exactly the opposite direction. This may also be referred to as a market being "oversold" or "overbought".[7] To buy the rumor or sell the fact can also be an example of the cognitive bias known as anchoring, when investors focus too much on the relevance of outside events to currency prices.

Economic numbers: While economic numbers can certainly reflect economic policy, some reports and numbers take on a talisman-like effect: the number itself becomes important to market psychology and may have an immediate impact on short-term market moves. "What to watch" can change over time. In recent years, for example, money supply, employment, trade balance figures and inflation numbers have all taken turns in the spotlight.

Technical trading considerations: As in other markets, the accumulated price movements in a currency pair such as EUR/USD can form apparent patterns that traders may attempt to use. Many traders study price charts in order to identify such patterns. [8]

[edit] Algorithmic trading in forex

Electronic trading is growing in the FX market, and algorithmic trading is becoming much more common. There is much confusion about the technique. According to financial consultancy Celent estimates, by 2008 up to 25% of all trades by volume will be executed using algorithm, up from about 18% in 2005.

[edit] Financial instruments

There are several types of financial instruments commonly used.

[edit] Spot

A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the spot market. Spot has the largest share by volume in FX transactions among all instruments.

[edit] Forward

One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.

[edit] Future

Main article: Currency future

Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.

[edit] Swap

Main article: Forex swap

The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not standardized contracts and are not traded through an exchange.

[edit] Option

Main article: Foreign exchange option

A foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option) is a derivative where the owner has the right but not the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The FX options market is the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the world.

[edit] Exchange Traded Fund

Main article: Exchange-traded fund

Exchange-traded funds (or ETFs) are Open Ended investment companies that can be traded at any time throughout the course of the day. Typically, ETFs try to replicate a stock market index such as the S&P 500 (e.g. SPY), but recently they are now replicating investments in the currency markets with the ETF increasing in value when the US Dollar weaknes versus a specific Currency, such as the Euro. Certain of these funds track the price movements of world currencies versus the US Dollar, and increase in value directly counter to the US Dollar, allowing for speculation in the US Dollar for US and US Dollar denominated investors and speculators.

[edit] Speculation

Controversy about currency speculators and their effect on currency devaluations and national economies recurs regularly. Nevertheless, many economists (e.g. Milton Friedman) have argued that speculators perform the important function of providing a market for hedgers and transferring risk from those people who don't wish to bear it, to those who do. Other economists (e.g. Joseph Stiglitz) however, may consider this argument to be based more on politics and a free market philosophy than on economics.

Large hedge funds and other well capitalized "position traders" are the main professional speculators.

Currency speculation is considered a highly suspect activity in many countries. While investment in traditional financial instruments like bonds or stocks often is considered to contribute positively to economic growth by providing capital, currency speculation does not, according to this view; it is simply gambling, that often interferes with economic policy. For example, in 1992, currency speculation forced the Central Bank of Sweden to raise interest rates for a few days to 150% per annum, and later to devalue the krona. Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad is one well known proponent of this view. He blamed the devaluation of the Malaysian ringgit in 1997 on George Soros and other speculators.[9]

Gregory Millman reports on an opposing view, comparing speculators to "vigilantes" who simply help "enforce" international agreements and anticipate the effects of basic economic "laws" in order to profit.

In this view, countries may develop unsustainable financial bubbles or otherwise mishandle their national economies, and forex speculators made the inevitable collapse happen sooner. A relatively quick collapse might even be preferable to continued economic mishandling. Mahathir Mohamad and other critics of speculation are viewed as trying to deflect the blame from themselves for having caused the unsustainable economic conditions.

[edit] References

1. ^ a b c Triennial Central Bank Survey (April 2007), Bank for International Settlements.
2. ^ McKay, Peter A.. "Scammers Operating on Periphery Of CFTC's Domain Lure Little Guy With Fantastic Promises of Profits", The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones and Company, July 26, 2005. Retrieved on 2007-10-31.
3. ^ Egan, Jack. "Check the Currency Risk. Then Multiply by 100", The New York Times, June 19, 2005. Retrieved on 2007-10-30.
4. ^ http://www.ifsl.org.uk/uploads/CBS_Foreign_Exchange_2006.pdf] (October 2006), International Financial Services, London.
5. ^ FX Poll 2007: The Euromoney FX survey claims to be the pre-eminent poll of foreign exchange service providers. Page retrieved 19 March 2007
6. ^ John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets (New York Institute of Finance, 1999), pp. 343–375.
7. ^ Investopedia
8. ^ Sam Y. Cross, All About the Foreign Exchange Market in the United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1998), chapter 11, pp. 113–115.
9. ^ Gregory J. Millman, Around the World on a Trillion Dollars a Day, Bantam Press, New York, 1995.

[edit] See also

* Balance of trade
* Bretton Woods system
* Currency pair
* Forex scam
* Retail forex
* Foreign exchange reserves
* Special Drawing Rights
* World currency
* Forex swap
* Foreign currency mortgage

[edit] External links

* Benchmark Currency Rates from Bloomberg
* CFTC Commission Advisory Customer fraud Protection
* Federal Reserve daily update
* Federal Reserve Bank of New York Foreign Exchange and related material.
* Financial Times — currency market data

Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_exchange_market"

Categories: Currency | Foreign exchange market

Saturday, November 17, 2007

Forex swap

Forex swap
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Foreign Exchange

Exchange Rates
Currency band
Exchange rate
Exchange rate regime
Fixed exchange rate
Floating exchange rate
Linked exchange rate


Markets
Foreign exchange market
Futures exchange


Products
Currency
Currency future
Non-deliverable forward
Forex swap
Currency swap
Foreign exchange option


See also
Bureau de change


In finance, a forex swap (or FX swap) is an over-the-counter short term interest rate derivative instrument. In emerging money markets, forex swaps are usually the first derivative instrument to be traded, ahead of forward rate agreements.

Contents [hide]
1 Structure
2 Uses
2.1 Hedging
2.2 Speculation
3 Related instruments
4 See also



[edit] Structure
A forex swap consists of two legs:

a spot foreign exchange transaction, and
a forward foreign exchange transaction.
These two legs are executed simultaneously for the same quantity, and therefore offset each other.


[edit] Uses
Forex swaps are used for hedging or speculation.


[edit] Hedging
Investors use forex swaps to hedge their existing forex exposures by swapping temporary surplus funds in one currency into another currency for better use of liquidity. Doing so protects against adverse movements in the forex rate, but favourable moves are renounced.


[edit] Speculation
Investors use forex swaps to speculate on changes in the interest rate differentials between two currencies.

The relationship between spot and forward is as follows:



where:

F = forward
S = spot
rT = interest rate of the term currency
rB = interest rate of the base currency
T = tenor (calculated according to the appropriate day count convention)
The forward points or swap points are quoted as the difference between forward and spot, F - S, and is expressed as the following:



where rT and rB are small. Thus, the absolute value of the swap points increases when the interest rate differential gets larger, and vice versa.


[edit] Related instruments
A forex swap should not be confused with a currency swap, which is a much rarer, long term transaction, governed by a slightly different set of rules.


[edit] See also
Currency swap
Overnight index swap
Foreign exchange market
Interest rate swap
This economics or finance-related article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.

[hide]v • d • eDerivatives market
Derivative (finance)
Options Terms: Strike price · Expiration · Open interest · Pin risk


Vanilla options: Option styles · Call · Put · Warrants · Fixed income · Employee stock option · FX


Exotic options: Asian · Lookback · Barrier · Binary · Swaption · Mountain range


Options strategies: Covered call · Naked put · Collar · Straddle · Strangle · Butterfly


Options spreads: Bull spread · Bear spread · Calendar spread · Vertical spread · Debit spread · Credit spread


Valuation of options: Moneyness · Option time value · Put-call parity · Black-Scholes · Black · Binomial

Swaps Interest rate swap · Total return swap · Equity swap · Credit default swap · Forex swap · Currency swap · Constant maturity swap · Basis swap · Volatility swap · Variance swap

Other derivatives Credit derivative · Equity derivative · Interest rate derivative · Inflation derivatives


Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forex_swap"
Categories: Currency | Economics and finance stubs | Derivatives | Foreign exchange market | Interest rates

World currency

World currency
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search



The euro and the US dollar are by far the most used currencies in terms of global reserves.In the foreign exchange market and international finance, a world currency or global currency refers to a currency in which the vast majority of international transactions take place and which serves as the world's primary reserve currency.

Contents [hide]
1 United States dollar and the euro
2 History
2.1 Spanish Dollar: 17th-19th centuries
2.2 19th - 20th centuries
3 Hypothetical single "true" global currency
3.1 Arguments for a global currency
3.2 Arguments against a single global currency
3.2.1 Loss of national monetary policy
3.2.2 Political difficulties
3.2.3 Economical difficulties
4 See also
5 References
6 External links



[edit] United States dollar and the euro

Comparison of worldwide use of the U.S. dollar and the euroSince the mid-20th century, the de facto world currency has been the United States dollar. According to Robert Gilpin in Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order (2001): "Somewhere between 40 and 60 percent of international financial transactions are denominated in dollars. For decades the dollar has also been the world's principle reserve currency; in 1996, the dollar accounted for approximately two-thirds of the world's foreign exchange reserves" (255).

Many of the world's currencies are pegged against the dollar. Some countries, such as Ecuador, El Salvador, and Panama, have gone even further and eliminated their own currency in favor of the United States dollar.

Since 1999, the dollar's dominance has begun to be undermined by the euro, that represents a larger size economy, with the prospect of more countries adopting the euro as their national currency. The euro inherited the status of a major reserve currency from the German Deutsche Mark, and since then its contribution to official reserves has risen continually as banks seek to diversify their reserves and trade in the eurozone continues to expand.[1]

Similar to the dollar, quite a few of the world's currencies are pegged against the euro. They are usually Eastern European currencies like the Estonian kroon and the Bulgarian lev, plus several west African currencies like the Cape Verdean escudo and the CFA franc.

As of December 2006, the euro surpassed the dollar in the combined value of cash in circulation. The value of euro notes in circulation has risen to more than €610 billion, equivalent to US$800 billion at the exchange rates at this time.[2]


[edit] History

[edit] Spanish Dollar: 17th-19th centuries
In the 16th and 17th century, the use of silver Spanish dollars or "pieces of eight" spread from the Spanish territories in the Americas eastwards to Asia and westwards to Europe forming the first ever [citation needed] worldwide currency. Spain's political supremacy on the world stage, as well as the coin's quality and purity of silver, made it become internationally accepted for over two centuries. It was legal tender in Spain's Pacific territories of Philippines, Micronesia, Guam and the Caroline Islands and later in China and other Southeast Asian countries until the mid 19th century. In the Americas it was legal tender in all of South and Central America (except Brazil) as well as in the U.S. and Canada until the mid-19th century. In Europe the Spanish dollar was legal tender in the Iberian Peninsula, in most of Italy including: Milan, the Kingdom of Naples, Sicily and Sardinia, as well as in the Franche-Comté (France), and in the Spanish Netherlands. It was also used in other European states including the Austrian Hapsburg territories.


[edit] 19th - 20th centuries
Prior to and during most of the 1800s international trade was denominated in terms of currencies that represented weights of gold. Most national currencies at the time were in essence merely different ways of measuring gold weights (much as the yard and the metre both measure length and are related by a constant conversion factor). Hence some assert that gold was the world's first global currency. The emerging collapse of the international gold standard around the time of World War I had significant implications for global trade.

In the period following the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944, exchange rates around the world were pegged against the United States dollar, which could be exchanged for a fixed amount of gold. This reinforced the dominance of the US dollar a global currency.

Since the collapse of the fixed exchange rate regime and the gold standard and the institution of floating exchange rates following the Smithsonian Agreement in 1971, currencies around the world have no longer been pegged against the United States dollar. However, as the United States remained the world's preeminent economic superpower, most international transactions continued to be conducted with the United States dollar, it has remained the de facto world currency.

Only two serious challengers to the status of the United States dollar as a world currency have arisen. During the 1980s, for a while, the Japanese yen became increasingly used as an international currency, but that usage diminished with the Japanese recession in the 1990s. More recently, the euro has competed with the United States dollar in usage in international finance.


[edit] Hypothetical single "true" global currency
An alternative definition of a world or global currency refers to a hypothetical single global currency, as the proposed Terra, produced and supported by a central bank which is used for all transactions around the world, regardless of the nationality of the entities (individuals, corporations, governments, or other organisations) involved in the transaction. No such official currency currently exists for a variety of reasons, political and economic.

There are many different variations of the idea, including a possibility that it would be administered by a global central bank or that it would be on the gold standard [1]. Supporters often point to the euro as an example of a supranational currency successfully implemented by a union of nations with disparate languages, cultures, and economies. Alternatively, digital gold currency can be viewed as an example of how global currency can be implemented without achieving national government consensus.


[edit] Arguments for a global currency
Some of the benefits cited by advocates of a global currency are that it would:

Eliminate speculation in Forex since there is a need for a currency pair to speculate.
Eliminate the direct and indirect transaction costs of trading from one currency to another[2].
Eliminate the balance of payments/current account problems of all countries.
Eliminate the risk of currency failure and currency risk.
Eliminate the uncertainty of changes in value due to exchange-caused fluctuations in currency value and the costs of hedging to protect against such fluctuations.
Cause an increase in the value of assets for those countries currently afflicted with significant country risk.
Eliminate the misalignment of currencies.
Utilize the seigniorage benefit and control of printing money for the operations of the global central bank and for public benefit.
Eliminate the need for countries or monetary unions to maintain international reserves of other currencies.

[edit] Arguments against a single global currency
Many economists[attribution needed] argue that a single global currency is unworkable given the vastly different national political and economic systems in existence.


[edit] Loss of national monetary policy
With one currency, there can only be one interest rate. This results in rendering each present currency area unable to choose the interest rate which suits its economy best. If, for example, the United States were to have an economic boom while the European Union slumped into a depression, this period would be eased if each could choose the interest rate which best fitted its needs (in this case, a relatively high interest rate in the former, and a relatively low one in the latter).


[edit] Political difficulties
In the present world, nations are not yet able to work together closely enough to be able to produce and support a common currency. There has to be a high level of trust between different countries before a true world currency could be created. A world currency might even undermine national sovereignty of smaller states.

A currency needs an interest rate, while one of the largest religions in the world, Islam, is against the idea of interest rate. This might prove to be an unsolvable problem for a world currency, if religious views concerning interest do not moderate.

An interest rate is one of the fundamental laws of a market economy. Depositing of money is important because it lets the money be lent out where it is needed most, for instance when establishing a new company or buying a house for a family. In order to get strangers to lend each other money the creditors needs to get compensated for their risk taken and their good will. If not they would just spend the money, or keep it or invest it somewhere else. If you want to be without interest rate you need other ways to compensate depositors, and the compensation would have to be in the form of money, in other words an interest-look-alike.


[edit] Economical difficulties
Some economists argue that a single world currency is unnecessary, because the U.S. dollar already provides many of the benefits of a world currency while avoiding some of the costs [3].

If the world does not form an optimum currency area, then it would be economically inefficient for the world to share one currency.

A world currency would not allow for adjustments by national central banks to accommodate local economic problems. A single currency can only have a single interest rate. However, different regions in the world, with varying rates of economic growth, may require different interest rates.

As an example, consider a hypothetical Country A that is a petroleum exporter and a hypothetical Country B that is an oil importer. If the price of oil goes up, this is an advantage for Country A, and a disadvantage for Country B. If the oil price goes up, this stimulates the economy of Country A; to avoid "overheating" the economy, Country A's central bank would support increasing the interest rate of Country A. At the same time, Country B's economy is damaged by the increased price of oil, and Country B's central bank would seek to lower the interest rate in order to stimulate the economy. However, Country A and Country B would be unable to do this if they shared the same currency.





[edit] See also
Digital gold currency
Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)
Dollar hegemony
World Currency Unit
Monetary Hegemony

[edit] References
^ http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2006/wp06153.pdf
^ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/18338034-95ec-11db-9976-0000779e2340.html

[edit] External links
Single Global Currency Association.
A Single Global Currency? Sure, why not. But, only if it's Gold and Silver Bullion!.
Malaysia Mahathir Proposes Single Global Currency.
Is it Time for a Single, Global Currency?.
World Currency Exchange Platform.
Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_currency"
Categories: All articles with unsourced statements | Articles with unsourced statements since June 2007 | All pages needing cleanup | Wikipedia articles needing factual verification since October 2007 | Currency | International economics | Globalization

Retail forex

Retail forex
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Financial markets

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Stock market
Stock
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Foreign exchange market
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Commodity market
OTC market
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Spot market


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Finance series
Financial market
Financial market participants
Corporate finance
Personal finance
Public finance
Banks and Banking
Financial regulation


v • d • e
In financial markets, the retail forex (retail currency trading or retail FX) market is a subset of the larger foreign exchange market. This "market has long been plagued by swindlers preying on the gullible," according to The New York Times[1]. It's commonly thought that about 90% of all retail FX traders lose money. [2] [3]

Contents [hide]
1 History
2 Key Concepts Behind A Retail Forex Trade
2.1 Currency pairs
2.2 High leveraged
2.3 Transaction costs and market makers
3 Financial Instruments
4 The Difference between Spot and Futures in Forex
5 References
6 See also



[edit] History
While forex has been traded since the beginning of financial markets, on-line retail trading has only been active since about 1996 . From the 1970s, larger retail traders could trade FX contracts at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange[1].

By 1996 on-line retail forex trading became practical. Internet-based market makers would take the opposite side of retail trader’s trades. These companies also created online trading platforms that provided a quick way for individuals to buy and sell on the forex spot market.

In online currency exchange, few or no transactions actually lead to physical delivery to the client; all positions will eventually be closed. The market makers offer high amounts of leverage. While up to 4:1 leverage is available in equities and 20:1 in Futures, it is common to have 100:1 leverage in currencies.]][1]. In the typical 100:1 scenario, the client absorbs all risks associated with controlling a position worth 100 times his capital.

Currencies are quoted in pairs i.e. EUR/USD (euro vs. United States dollar).

Top 6 Most Traded Currencies Rank Currency ISO 4217 Code Symbol
1 United States dollar USD $
2 Eurozone euro EUR €
3 Japanese yen JPY ¥
4 British pound sterling GBP £
5-6 Swiss franc CHF -
5-6 Australian dollar AUD $

[edit] Key Concepts Behind A Retail Forex Trade

[edit] Currency pairs
Currency prices can only fluctuate relative to another currency, so they are traded in pairs. Take two of the most common currency pairs, the EUR/USD (the price for euros in US dollars) and the GBP/USD (the price for the British pound in US dollars).


[edit] High leveraged
The idea of margin (leverage) and floating loss is another important trading concept and is perhaps best understood using an example. Most retail Forex market makers permit 100:1 leverage, but also, crucially, require you to have a certain amount of money in your account to protect against a critical loss point. For example, if a $100,000 position is held in Eur/USD on 100:1 leverage, the trader has to put up $1,000 to control the position. However, in the event of a declining value of your positions, Forex market makers, mindful of the fast nature of forex price swings and the amplifying effect of leverage, typically do not allow their traders to go negative and make up the difference at a later date. In order to make sure the trader does not lose more money than is held in the account, forex market makers typically employ automatic systems to close out positions when clients run out of margin (the amount of money in their account not tied to a position). If the trader has $2,000 in his account, and he is buying a $100,000 lot of EUR/USD, he has $1,000 of his $2,000 tied up in margin, with $1,000 left to allow his position to fluctuate downward without being closed out.

Typically a trader's trading platform will show him three important numbers associated with his account: his balance, his equity, and his margin remaining. If trader X has two positions: $100,000 long (buy) in EUR/USD, and $100,000 short (sell) in GBP/USD, and he has $10,000 in his account, his positions would look as follows: Because of the 100:1 leverage, it took him $1,000 to control each position. This means that he has used up $2,000 in his margin, out of a $10,000 account, and thus he has $8,000 of margin still available. With this margin, he can either take more positions or keep the margin relatively high to allow his current positions to be maintained in the event of downturns. If the client chooses to open a new position of $100,000, this will again take another $1,000 of his margin, leaving $7,000. He will have used up $3,000 in margin among the three positions. The other way margin will decrease is if the positions he currently has open lose money. If his 3 positions of $100,000 decrease by $5,000 in value (which is fairly common), he now has, of his original $7,000 in margin, only $2,000 left.

If you have a $10,000 account and only open one $100,000 position, this has committed only $1,000 of your money plus you must maintain $1,000 in margin. While this leaves $9,000 free in your account, it is possible to lose almost all of it if the speculation loses money.


[edit] Transaction costs and market makers
Market makers are well compensated for allowing retail clients to enter the forex market. They take part or all of the spread in all currency pairs traded. In a common example, EUR/USD, the spread is typically 3 pips (3/100 of a percent). Thus prices are quoted with both bid and offer prices (e.g., Buy Eur/USD 1.2000, Sell Eur/USD 1.2003). That difference of 3 pips is the spread and can amount to a significant amount of money. Because the typical standard lot is 100,000 units of the base currency, those 3 pips on EUR/USD translate to $30 paid by the client to the market maker. However, a pip is not always $10. A pip is 1/100th of a percent, and the currency pairs are always purchased by buying 100,000 of the quote currency, which is also known as the counter currency. For the pair EUR/USD, the base currency is USD; thus, 1/100th of a percent on a pair with USD as the base currency will always have a pip of $10. If, on the other hand, your currency has Swiss Frank (CHF) as a base instead of USD, then 1/100th of a percent is now worth around $8, because you are buying 100,000 worth of Swiss Franks.


[edit] Financial Instruments
There are several types of financial instruments commonly used.

Forwards: One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.

Futures: Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.

Swaps: The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not contracts and are not traded through an exchange.

Spot: A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the Spot market.


[edit] The Difference between Spot and Futures in Forex
Before a description of retail trading, it is important to understand the difference between the Spot and Futures markets. Futures are generally based on contracts, with typical durations of 3 months. Spot, on the other hand, is a two-day cash delivery. While the Futures markets was created to hedge out risks and speculate on future market conditions, Spot was created to allow actual cash deliveries. Spot developed a two-day delivery date in order to give those transporting the actual cash a window of time to receive it. While in theory there still is a two-day delivery date imposed after a Forex transaction, this is effectively no longer used. Every day, at 5 pm EST (the predetermined end of the trading day) Spot positions are closed and then reopened. This is done in order to guarantee an unlimited timeline for delivery. For example, if a Spot transaction occurs on a Monday, the delivery date is Wednesday. At 5 pm on Monday, the position is closed and then immediately re-opened; now this is a new position with the close date of Thursday. This daily process allows an investor to hold open a position indefinitely.

Another important difference between Futures and Spot is how interest is credited. Each currency in a Forex transaction has an inherent interest rate attached to it. In the case of the US dollar, this is the Federal Funds Rate. This interest is added every single day whether the market is trading or not. Interest cannot take a vacation; money and its loaning value are still important even if the financial world has stopped dealing. In Futures, the interest is built into the price of the contract. In Spot, however, interest is not taken into account in the offering price because the Spot market is a cash market, not a contract market. There must be some mechanism for crediting interest, and various institutions have developed ways to do it. The most common method is to credit that day’s worth of interest at the same time they “flip” the position, or carry it over to the next day. This is important for later discussions and analysis because the transactions examined in this study had interest credited at the end of the business day at exactly 5 pm EST. If a position was held from 5:01 pm on Tuesday and closed at 4:59 pm on Wednesday, no interest would be credited for that day. If, on the other hand, a position was opened Tuesday at 4:59 pm and closed Tuesday 5:01 pm, a full day’s interest would be credited. This has interesting ramifications; traders who work intra-day, or “day traders,” often do not use interest for either gain or loss.


[edit] References
^ a b c Egan, Jack. "Check the Currency Risk. Then Multiply by 100", The New York Times, June 19, 2005. Retrieved on 2007-10-30.
^ Tajitsu, Naomi. "Japan's retail forex punters trade round the clock", Reuters, July 11, 2007. Retrieved on 2007-10-31.
^ Karmin, Craig. "Currency Markets Draw Speculation, Fraud", The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones and Company, July 26, 2005. Retrieved on 2007-10-31.

[edit] See also

Foreign currency mortgage

Foreign currency mortgage
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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This article is orphaned as few or no other articles link to it.
Please help introduce links in articles on related topics. (August 2006)

A Foreign currency mortgage is a mortgage which is repayable in a currency other than the currency of the country in which the borrower is a resident. Foreign currency mortgages can be used to finance both personal mortgages and corporate mortgages.

The interest rate charged on a Foreign currency mortgage is based on the interest rates applicable to the currency in which the mortgage is denominated and not the interest rates applicable to the borrowers own domestic currency. Therefore, a Foreign currency mortgage should only be considered when the interest rate on the foreign currency is significantly lower than the borrower can obtain on a mortgage taken out in his or her domestic currency.

Borrowers should bear in mind that ultimately they have a liability to repay the mortgage in another currency and currency exchange rates constantly change. This means that if the borrowers domestic currency was to strengthen against the currency in which the mortgage is denominated, then it would cost the borrower less in domestic currency to fully repay the mortgage. Therefore, in effect, the borrower makes a capital saving.

Conversely, if the exchange rate of borrowers domestic currency were to weaken against the currency in which the mortgage is denominated, then it would cost the borrower more in their domestic currency to repay the mortgage. Therefore, the borrower makes a capital loss.

When the value of the mortgage is large, it may be possible to reduce or limit the risk in the exchange exposure by hedging (see below).

Managed currency mortgages can help to reduce risk exposure. A borrower can allow a specialist currency manager to manage their loan on their behalf (through a limited power of attorney), where the currency manager will switch the borrower's debt in and out of foreign currencies as they change in value against the base currency. A successful currency manager will move the borrower's debt into a currency which subsequently falls in value against the base currency. The manager can then switch the loan back into the base currency (or another weakening currency) at a better exchange rate, thereby reducing the value of the loan. A further benefit of this product is that the currency manager will try to select currencies with a lower interest rate than the base currency, and the borrower therefore can make substantial interest savings.

There are risks associated with these types of mortgages and the borrower must be prepared to accept an (often limited) increase in the value of their debt if there are adverse movements in the currency markets.

A successful currency manager may be able to use the currency markets to pay off a borrower's loan (through a combination of debt reduction and interest rate savings) within the normal lifetime of the loan, while the borrower pays on an interest only basis.


[edit] See also
Hedge (finance)
Exchange rate
Foreign exchange market

[edit] Resources
Further explanation with examples of Foreign Currency Mortgages can be found at [1]
A comprehensive collection of UK newspaper articles primarily about Foreign currency mortgages [2]
Up to date news on foreign currency movements against the £ sterling [3]
What are foreign currency mortgages and what are the risks? [4]- An article written from a UK residents perspective
Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_currency_mortgage"
Categories: Orphaned articles from August 2006 | All orphaned articles | Mortgage

Foreign exchange reserves

Foreign exchange reserves
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Foreign Exchange

Exchange Rates
Currency band
Exchange rate
Exchange rate regime
Fixed exchange rate
Floating exchange rate
Linked exchange rate


Markets
Foreign exchange market
Futures exchange


Products
Currency
Currency future
Non-deliverable forward
Forex swap
Currency swap
Foreign exchange option


See also
Bureau de change


Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. However, the term foreign exchange reserves in popular usage commonly includes foreign exchange and gold, SDRs and IMF reserve position as this total figure is more readily available, however it is accurately deemed as official reserves or international reserves. These are assets of the central banks which are held in different reserve currencies such as the dollar, euro and yen, and which are used to back its liabilities, e.g. the local currency issued, and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank, by the government or financial institutions.

Contents [hide]
1 History
2 Purpose
2.1 Changes in reserves
3 Costs and benefits
4 Excess Reserves
5 Levels
6 See also
7 External links
7.1 Source
7.2 Articles
7.3 Speeches



[edit] History
Reserves were formerly held only in gold, as official gold reserves. But under the Bretton Woods system, the United States pegged the dollar to gold, and allowed convertibility of dollars to gold. This effectively made dollars appear as good as gold. The U.S. later abandoned the gold standard, but the dollar has remained relatively stable as a fiat currency, and it is still the most significant reserve currency. Central banks now typically hold large amounts of multiple currencies in reserve.


[edit] Purpose
In a non fixed exchange rate system, reserves allow a central bank to purchase the issued currency, exchanging its assets to reduce its liability. The purpose of reserves is to allow central banks an additional means to stabilise the issued currency from excessive volatility, and protect the monetary system from shock, such as from currency traders engaged in flipping. Large reserves are often seen as a strength, as it indicates the backing a currency has. Low or falling reserves may be indicative of an imminent bank run on the currency or default, such as in a currency crisis.

Central banks sometimes claim that holding large reserves is a security measure. This is true to the extent that a central bank can prop up its own currency by spending reserves. (This practice is essentially large-scale manipulation of the global currency market. Central banks have sometimes attempted this in the years since the 1971 collapse of the Bretton Woods system. A few times, multiple central banks have cooperated to attempt to manipulate exchange rates. It is unclear just how effective the practice is.) But often, very large reserves are not a hedge against inflation but rather a direct consequence of the opposite policy: the bank has purchased large amounts of foreign currency in order to keep its own currency relatively cheap.


[edit] Changes in reserves
The quantity of foreign exchange reserves can change as a central bank implements monetary policy. A central bank that implements a fixed exchange rate policy may face a situation where supply and demand would tend to push the value of the currency lower or higher (an increase in demand for the currency would tend to push its value higher, and a decrease lower). In a fixed exchange rate regime, these operations occur automatically, with the central bank clearing any excess demand or supply by purchasing or selling the foreign currency. Mixed exchange rate regimes ('dirty floats', target bands or similar variations) may require the use of foreign exchange operations (sterilized or unsterilized) to maintain the targeted exchange rate within the prescribed limits.

Foreign exchange operations that are unsterilized will cause an expansion or contraction in the amount of domestic currency in circulation, and hence directly affect monetary policy and inflation: "An exchange rate target cannot be independent of an inflation target. Countries that do not target a specific exchange rate are said to have a floating exchange rate, and allow the market to set the exchange rate; for countries with floating exchange rates, other instruments of monetary policy are generally preferred and they may limit the type and amount of foreign exchange interventions. Even those central banks that strictly limit foreign exchange interventions, however, often recognize that currency markets can be volatile and may intervene to counter disruptive short-term movements.

To maintain the same exchange rate if there is increased demand, the central bank can issue more of the domestic currency and purchase the foreign currency, which will increase the sum of foreign reserves. In this case, the currency's value is being held down; since (if there is no sterilization) the domestic money supply is increasing (money is being 'printed'), this may provoke domestic inflation (the value of the domestic currency falls relative to the value of goods and services).

Since the amount of foreign reserves available to defend a weak currency (a currency in low demand) is limited, a foreign exchange crisis or devaluation could be the end result. For a currency in very high and rising demand, foreign exchange reserves can theoretically be continuously accumulated, although eventually the increased domestic money supply will result in inflation and reduce the demand for the domestic currency (as its value relative to goods and services falls). In practice, "Some central banks, through open market operations aimed at preventing their currency from appreciating, can at the same time build substantial reserves.

In practice, few central banks or currency regimes operate on such a simplistic level, and numerous other factors (domestic demand, production and productivity, imports and exports, relative prices of goods and services, etc) will affect the eventual outcome. As certain impacts (such as inflation) can take many months or even years to become evident, changes in foreign reserves and currency values in the short term may be quite large as different markets react to imperfect data.


[edit] Costs and benefits
On one hand, if a country desires to have a government-influenced exchange rate, then holding bigger reserves gives the country a bigger ability to manipulate the currency market. On the other hand, holding reserves does induce opportunity cost. The "quasi-fiscal costs" of holding reserves are the gap between the low-yield assets that returns managers typically hold, and the average cost of government debt in the country. In addition, many governments have suffered huge losses on the management of the reserves portfolio - all of which is ultimately fiscal. When there is a currency crisis and all reserves vanish, this is ultimately a fiscal cost. Even when there is no currency crisis, there can be a fiscal cost, as is taking place in 2005 and 2006 with China, which holds huge USD assets but the RMB has been continually appreciating.


[edit] Excess Reserves
Foreign exchange reserves are important indicators of ability to repay foreign debt and for currency defense, and are used to determine credit ratings of nations, however, other government funds that are counted as liquid assets that can be applied to liabilities in times of crisis include stabilization funds, otherwise known as Sovereign wealth funds. If those were included, Norway and Persian Gulf States would rank higher on these lists, and UAE's $1.3 trillion Abu Dhabi Investment Authority would be second after China. Singapore also has significant government funds including Temasek Holdings and GIC. India is also planning to create its own investment firm from its forex reserves.


[edit] Levels

Reserves of foreign exchange and gold in 2006At the end of 2006, 65.7% of the identified official foreign exchange reserves in the world were held in United States dollars and 25.2% in euros [1].

Monetary Authorities with the largest foreign reserves in 2007. Rank Country/Monetary Authority billion USD (end of month)
1 People's Republic of China $1434 (September) [1]
2 Japan $954 (October)
— Eurozone $483 (September)
3 Russia $455 (November 9) [2]
4 India $270 (November 9) [3]
5 Republic of China (Taiwan) $266 (October)
6 South Korea $257 (September)
7 Brazil $173 (November 13) [4]
8 Singapore $158 (October)
9 Hong Kong $142 (October)
10 Germany $126 (September)


Note:

^ China updates its information quarterly.
^ Russia updates its information weekly and monthly.
^ India updates its information weekly.
^ Brazil updates its information Daily.
These few holders account for more than 50% of total world foreign currency reserves. The adequacy of the foreign exchange reserves is more often expressed not as an absolute level, but as a percentage of short-term foreign debt, money supply, or average monthly imports.


[edit] See also
List of countries by foreign exchange reserves
Balance of payments
Official gold reserves
Reserve currency
Special Drawing Rights
Sovereign wealth funds

[edit] External links

[edit] Source
IMF's data on current foreign exchange reserves of reporting countries
The World Factbook, CIA
Taiwan's Department of Investment Services data on foreign exchange reserves of major countries
Bank of Korea's top ten foreign exchange reserves holding countries monthly
Hong Kong Monetary Authority's top ten foreign exchange reserves holding countries monthly
European Central Bank data on eurosystem reserves

[edit] Articles
Guidelines for foreign exchange reserve management Accompanying Document 1 Document 2 Appendix
A primer on exchange reserves
An empirical analysis of foreign exchange reserves in emerging Asia -- December 2005
Foreign exchange reserves: issues in asia -- January 2005
Foreign exchange reserves in east asia: why the high demand? -- April 25, 2003
Optimal currency shares in international reserves
The adequacy of foreign exchange reserves

[edit] Speeches
Alan Greenspan: discusses recent trends in the management of foreign exchange reserves -- April 29, 1999
Y V Reddy: India’s foreign exchange reserves - policy, status and issues -- May 10, 2002
Marion Williams: foreign exchange reserves - how much is enough? -- November 02, 2005



[hide]v • d • eInternational trade
Definitions Balance of payments · Current account (Balance of trade) · Capital account · Foreign exchange reserves · Sovereign wealth funds · Net Capital Outflow · Comparative advantage · Absolute advantage · Import substitution · International trade

Organizations and policies World Trade Organization · International Monetary Fund · World Bank Group · International Trade Centre · Trade bloc · Free trade zone · Trade barrier · Import quota · Tariff

Schools of thought Free trade · Balanced trade · Mercantilism · Protectionism

Related issues Globalization · Outsourcing · Trade justice · Fair trade